The Limits of US Spying in Beirut
New American embassy a tempting target for Hezbollah with CIA, diplomats largely cooped up
In the mountains overlooking Beirut and the Mediterranean, a new, ultra-modern American embassy is about to open any day now. But the timing, coinciding with the ongoing Israel-Hamas war in Gaza and President Joe Biden's deepening military engagement on several related Middle Eastern fronts, could not be more dangerous for the diplomats posted there. And for the CIA officers at the agency’s storied Beirut station, the challenge of collecting timely, accurate, on-the-ground intelligence to help inform the president’s policy decisions remains as daunting as ever.
The new Beirut embassy will open at a time when Lebanon's Iranian-backed Hezbollah militia has been showing its support for Hamas for the past three months by initiating artillery duels with Israeli forces along their shared border. On Tuesday, Reuters reported that Israeli warplanes and artillery struck Hezbollah targets deep inside southern Lebanon, heightening concerns that the fighting could grow into a full-blown war.
At the same time, pro-Iranian Shiite militias in Iraq and Syria have responded to the administration’s military and intelligence support for Israel with more than 150 rocket attacks on U.S. forces stationed in those two countries, prompting retaliatory U.S. airstrikes that have destroyed militia bases and killed a number of their members. And in the wake of more than two dozen attacks on American and international shipping in the Red Sea by Yemen’s Iran-armed Houthi rebels, U.S. air and naval forces have destroyed Houthi radars and missiles stores. The latest U.S. airstrike took place Tuesday, after Houthi missiles damaged a Greek-owned cargo ship earlier in the day and hit a U.S.-owned merchant ship on Monday.
With no end in sight to the widening regional war, some current and former U.S. intelligence officials say the Beirut embassy once again is emerging as a tempting target for Hezbollah — just as the last two American diplomatic missions did four decades ago.
“Once Hezbollah gets it in their mind that America is once again a target, then they're going to launch a rocket or two at the new embassy,” probably forcing its evacuation, James Stejskal, a former Green Beret and CIA operative who also served in several Middle Eastern postings, told SpyTalk.
Sam Wyman, a former CIA case officer who served at the Beirut station and still closely monitors events in Lebanon, seconds that view. “I think you can assume there will be reactions from Hezbollah [to U.S. support for Israel], both abroad and at home,” he said in an interview.
It’s a target that would be hard to miss.
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