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Iran at the Edge: Reza Pahlavi, a Nation in Revolt, and the Great Power Endgame

Will the regime fall? A longtime senior special ops strategist lays out the forces in play.

Ken Robinson's avatar
Ken Robinson
Jan 12, 2026
∙ Paid
Protests continued into their second week (Sky News).

Iran is experiencing its most politically explicit and geographically widespread unrest in many years. Demonstrations, strikes, and clashes have been reported across major cities and commercial centers, accompanied by communications shutdowns and mass arrests. The regime is responding with a familiar survival playbook: repression, information control, and legal intimidation. President Trump has publicly warned he may intervene militarily if Iran continues using lethal force against protesters. The ultimate outcome is uncertain.

Key questions:

  1. What is actually happening inside Iran and how serious is it?

  2. Who is Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi and what role does he really play?

  3. What are the United States, Israel, China, and Russia signaling?

  4. Where does this most likely go next?

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